Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.432130 0.511321 0.599637 0.705242 0.827895 0.965663 1.131936
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.310644 0.410786 0.534114 0.696406 0.903511 1.158040 1.493540
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.256328 0.369960 0.521174 0.735416 1.029126 1.415333 1.958854
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.200712 0.312671 0.472001 0.712500 1.062875 1.550503 2.275206
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.171159 0.284752 0.455964 0.728667 1.146796 1.756921 2.705521
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.147964 0.261324 0.441289 0.742091 1.224773 1.959170 3.147124
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.125681 0.234895 0.416970 0.735342 1.268274 2.111026 3.524725
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.108455 0.213746 0.397477 0.732459 1.315447 2.270486 3.926453
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.099025 0.204751 0.396971 0.760783 1.416231 2.524023 4.501618
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.097988 0.211197 0.424437 0.841187 1.614501 2.956611 5.412254
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.090446 0.203563 0.424602 0.871143 1.725258 3.248358 6.106027
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.079360 0.186797 0.404837 0.860542 1.759592 3.407610 6.579245
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.066444 0.164336 0.371461 0.820759 1.737561 3.469062 6.894054
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.056159 0.145869 0.343629 0.788517 1.726604 3.550297 7.254407
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.052953 0.143286 0.349325 0.827012 1.861840 3.921865 8.197430
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.045424 0.128768 0.326357 0.800279 1.858551 4.021811 8.621055
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.041825 0.123472 0.323634 0.818007 1.951077 4.320337 9.462040
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.038444 0.118110 0.319936 0.832886 2.038662 4.615890 10.320856
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.034247 0.109700 0.307501 0.825359 2.074899 4.806644 10.977806
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.030772 0.102650 0.297423 0.822146 2.120412 5.020623 11.700572
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.029210 0.100956 0.301058 0.853669 2.250876 5.430654 12.877376
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.030097 0.106937 0.326106 0.943111 2.529447 6.191693 14.878666
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.028614 0.105175 0.329613 0.976416 2.673513 6.659999 16.263395